Who is the Next Premier?

By Fahed Khitan

تم نشره في Sat 20 August / Aug 2016. 11:00 PM
  • Fahed Khitan

As the political elite is immersed in anticipating the new parliament’s identity in light of the new electoral roadmap, the fate of Dr Hani Mulqi’s government is repeatedly evoked in question, for what will become of the Prime Minister’s cabinet? Will they leave? Or will Mulqi be reassigned?

Constitutionally, Mulqi’s cabinet may proceed to govern post-elections, conditioned of course that they retain the confidence of the House of Representative. However, when it comes to the dominant custom in Jordan, the tradition has it that the government would resign some days after the results are announced, for a political figure to be charged with formulating the new government, or for the resigned cabinet’s premier to be reassigned and reinstated to put together his team of choice.

Premier Mulqi, on instatement, had received a strong sign, back then, that he would continue to serve as Prime Minister aftermath the elections. He stuck by the contents of the letter of assignment, premising his government was not transitionally temporary.

Accordingly, his outlined a comprehensive agenda, requiring at least 4 years to implement. And over the last few months, he made sure the continuity of his government is communicated and reassured with the bundle of projects and schemes adopted and initiated by the government.

So far, no rivals have surfaced to substitute Mulqi’s premiership. And according to estimates by monitors and specialists, Mulqi stands as the sole candidate to formulate the post-elections government.

It will not be a parliamentary government, this is almost completely clear, and undisputed now. Half of the current cabinet will not be lucky again to be reselected. Change, according to them as well, will extent to pillar figures in Mulqi’s government.

What instrument will outline the new government’s formation?

Many see it unlikely for the same methods to be put in place for the formulation of the new government; the methods and instruments that government the formation process of Dr Abdullah Nsoor’s 2nd government that is. There will probably not be much parliamentary deliberation among blocs. It is likely, many think, that the Prime Minister will be assigned in accordance to constitutional laws and articles, to afterwards deliberate with parliamentary blocs on the cabinet formation.

This, however, may be opposed by blocs in the new parliament, particularly the Islamic Action Front’s, who aspire an influential role in the formation of government, to go beyond parliamentary deliberations instrumented previously. On the other hand, the enhanced option will resound favourably among many in parliament; enough to insure its ratification without hindrance or obstacle.

Still, the new government is up for a lot of difficulties in parliament. Retaining confidence will require hard work and a creatively innovative agenda. Parliaments, at first, typically adverse governments, adopting oppositional positions to secure constituency satisfaction. And with the existence of organised opposition, the government’s mission to secure confidence will not be easy.

The new Representative House agenda has many tough questions entailed, addressing the Kingdom’s economic course, and resurgence plans to restore the Country’s economy in light of skyrocketing indebtedness and shortages in aid and support, coupled with highly complicated regional circumstances and a growing uncertainty of the government administration’s ability to respond to such challenges on many levels.

The past few months comprised no more than a friendly match for the Premier. After the elections, the real league begins; that is “should” expectations for Mulqi’s continuation turn out correct.

The final question evokes the identity of the Representative House Speaker; a position that is integral to cabinet formation. Expectations in this regard are possible, but it is too early to say!