A Plague of 30 Years!

By Mohammad Aburumman

تم نشره في Wed 14 December / Dec 2016. 12:00 AM
  • Mohammad Aburumman

Finally, an Iranian politician is making sense; and I know these voices do exist in Iran, but they’re very subtle.

Mahmoud Mir Mousavi, former official with the Iranian Ministry of Foreign, stated that the short-lived success in Aleppo will breed 30 worrying years to come.

Furthermore, in his statements to the Irani newspaper, “Sharq”, he said that situation is very bad, and that the death of 300 people, next to the dislocation and migration of 12 million Syrians is bound only to nurture hate and violence, with 10 million Syrian families enduring the tolls of hatred and bigotry, which will require no less than two decades to resolve.

Accordingly, following on the debates, commentaries, and the general Arab psyche, on social media, and their reactions over the massacres in Aleppo, it is obvious that we are unto a complex and difficult phase, packed with sectarianism, fanaticism, violence, and radicalism. Even in a country like Jordan, where there is no sectarian division, one can see a dramatic change in the public mood towards Iran, Hizbullah, and the Shiites in general, unfortunately, due to the unfolding Syrian situation as a whole, and the scene in Aleppo to be precise!

Adding sour to the wound; the arrival of someone like Trump in the White House, the fascist under a democratic mask, armed with a crew sharing a solid conviction that the United States of America (USA) has no role to play in the advancement of human rights and democracy, will not make it better.

We all read the Boston Globe article published in Al Ghad’s Tuesday edition by Daniel Pipes; a pro-Trum rightist, on “Finding a true course in the Middle East”, about Trump’s options in the region, which could be summarised in the return to the traditional pragmatic discourse, and the balances of interest and security, with the preference of not supporting the recurrence of any democracy which would bring Islamist into power.

It is no secret that Pipes is an enemy of Muslims, and one of those who say that there is no such things as moderate and extremist Islam. Therefore, he views the conflict in Syria as one among American nemeses; Russia on one side, and the Islamist opposition on the other, seeing the Kurds as the only US ally there. As for the Turks, Pipes vilifies Erdogan. All in all, Pipes does not vary much from the core discourse of the pro-Trump American right.

With the implosion of sectarian conflict, and the rise of militias of many colours and contexts, between Irani-affiliated groups and opposing extremist militias, the weight of millions driven out of their homes and into refuge, under the weight of an unprecedented humanitarian crisis, even during the times of the European mandate; presided by an American administration that is careless of democracy and human rights, not so conflicted with tyranny, even reconstructing alliances with tyrants, given the catastrophic pandemic conditions, the dream of democracy, which is the concern of a vast social segment, has become more farfetched, at least for the time being and the near future.

More so, sooner than we would think, the security and safety Arab regimes have been promoting for as a practical alternative to democracy will also fail. What the proponents of the recreation of authoritarianism do not understand is that the status quo across the Arab World is no longer sustainable, and that the standing authorities and systems have become obsolete, facing ever greater crises and decay. The only alternative to democracy is conflict, crisis, and impending collapse.

Coupled with my apologies, this dose, as bleak as it is, of reality, is more factually imminent than fictional. Just look around you and think deeper; this is a historic moment unfolding a new phase that has yet to crystallise, and we’d better pay attention and read it well.