Imminent change in government

تم نشره في Sun 3 August / Aug 2014. 01:07 PM

By Fahd Khitan

The appetite of politicians is no longer open to news about a cabinet reshuffle as it was before; following a permanent Jordanian; local media circulated news by the end of the Eid holiday about the King's intention to request the Director of his office Dr. Fayez Tarawneh to form a new government to replace the government of Dr. Abdullah Ensour.

With the exception of a few, the news did not receive the usual attention such news get from politicians. However, there was a new level of feedback and comments that exceeded the state's political curiosity that accompanies news of governmental change and reshuffle in Jordan.

As soon as the "rumor" was spread, which was denied later by official sources, some politicians asked: Why the change now; the situation is stable in the country, and the government is functioning, what is the justification for the reshuffle?

Others said the decision-makers are convinced that constant change in governments detriment the work of state institutions. They explained, in more detail, that the King is satisfied with the performance of the current government, and there are major external challenges and there is no time for internal fights and to engage in a new round of consultations with the parliament for a vote of confidence. They concluded by saying the government will remain as long as the current parliament remains.

There is another group that supports the change in government, but they  seemed strongly reticent on the direction of change and the identity of the new premier.

The common denominator for all the comments is the traditional question: "If you do not want Ensour, give us an alternative?" This is followed by a short period of silence before the owner of the question adds, "Let’s stay with Ensour, better than we get this or that”.

In this sense, the current prime minister became the first option for a broad sector who lived with constant changes in governments without feeling any change in their lives.

Those in favor of changing Ensour, today, realize that the goal is unattainable, and expresses their disappointment in saying that the current government has exhausted its capabilities and its premier no long has anything to offer, but the absence of a desire for change is what is keeping him in place.

As such, the wheel of debate spins among observers and those interested in public affairs, and with it new questions arise in the political life of Jordan.

Is the general feeling that the government will stay reflects an acceptance of the principle upon which it was established, dubbed a parliamentary majority government? Does this government really have a majority of the parliament backing it so that they protect it from falling, or are we witnessing a manufactured majority that can be dismantled in time of need?

In Parliament, prominent MPs stress that the parliament is backing the government only as long as it is required, and will be removed with the first signal from “above”.

It might be that this analysis is logical, but it is not enough to explain the conviction of the futility of change, which now fills the hearts and minds of the Jordanian political elite.

It is likely that aspiring politicians are now frustrated; after a series of failed attempts and maneuvers to overthrow the government were forced to accept a fait accompli; the reality of the survival of the government of Ensour.

In this sense, the decision-maker is the one who forced hi approach to the formation of governments, and not the political elites. These elites will only change within a larger framework of policies affecting the whole country. And until that happens Dr. Ensour will still enjoy the premier’s chair, and the elites will yearn to sit in his place.

@fahed_khitan

 

This article is an edited translation from the Arabic edition.

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