The Palestinians options after New York

تم نشره في Tue 30 December / Dec 2014. 08:28 PM

By Fahed Khitan

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas knows more than anyone else that ending the occupation and establishing a Palestinian state after two years, which he submitted to the UN Security Council through Jordan, might not have the approval of the nine members of the Council. If we assume that the Arab group in New York succeeded in overcoming this obstacle, the US veto will be on the lookout.

The Palestinian Authority, and contrary to the desire of Jordan and other Arab countries, insisted on submitting the proposal for vote, after rounds of extensive amendments made to it to approved by the chief parties.

The United States clearly announced has that it will not support the resolution. As for France, it has tried to present an alternative proposal, taking into account the various parties notes. But Washington did not change its mind, and remained on its position that negotiations are more useful than random dates for a peace agreement.

Israel is not worried about the Arab and Palestinian move in the Security Council. It sees the decision as a Palestinian attempt to pressure the United States to intervene more effectively with during the rest of the life of the current administration, and force Israel to make concessions in the event of a resumption of negotiations after the planned elections to the Knesset in March.

Indeed, the Obama administration advised President Abbas, via Jordan, to forget the idea of going to the Security Council, in return for the promise to put pressure on Israel to resume negotiations, and the completion of a comprehensive agreement with the Palestinians within two years.

Senior White House officials said to their Jordanian counterparts that President Barack Obama in the second half of his last term will be free from pressure, and will be more interested in achieving a serious breakthrough in the peace process.

But Abbas seems like he gave up on the US role. His agitated behavior in recent times makes him look like a commander whose will crashed, and no longer cares where his steps will take him.

Perhaps the guy is right; he gave his whole life to negotiations, and did not receive anything in return for all his concessions and sacrifices that reached constants of the Palestinians cause, from the point of view of many in the Arab and Palestinian arenas. What is the justification that drives him to trust the promises of the US administration, after nearly a quarter-century of empty negotiations?

However, Abbas, and behind him the Palestinian Authority, will return from the diplomatic battle in New York with a negative result, while they, namely, in contrast, do not have an alternative for this failure.

For days, the authority will channel their anger on the US administration, and scream in the face of the world that denies the right of Palestinians to an independent state like all other peoples.

Then, after their souls rest, they would clash, again, with a reality that has not changed on the ground, which might even deteriorate further if the surveys about the progress of the extreme right in the upcoming Israeli elections turn out to be true.

These, and other bad news, come down on top of Abbas with the beginning of a new year, without any serious opportunities to achieve outstanding Palestinian reconciliation between Fateh and Hamas, and geopolitical fission between the West Bank and Gaza. On top of that staleness in the relations with Jordan that are almost palpable behind the diplomatic niceties in New York.

2015 may be the year of the Palestinian Authority par excellence.

@fahed_khitan

 

This article is an edited translation from the Arabic edition

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