Fahed Khitan

Israel's Only Solution for Syria

تم نشره في Mon 15 February / Feb 2016. 12:00 AM

The Israelis kept a mysterious position regarding the Syrian crisis for a long period of time. Early into the beginning of the conflict, Israeli Intelligence advised the US administration against direct intervention to overthrow Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. As the situation in Syria progressed, however, becoming an international issue, and as foreign world and regional players joined in, Israel took steps to establish connection between armed factions in Syria, especially “Al Nusra” who did not hesitate to have their injured fighters treated in Israeli hospitals. Among such efforts, Israeli intelligence sought to verify independent press and media reports and document them.

Moreover, in three articulated occasions, Israeli fighter jets bombed positions of the Syrian Army as well as missile shipments supposedly in route to Hezbollah. Israeli Intelligence also planned and executed multiple assassinations of ranking Irani and Hezbollah officers and leaders from border areas with Syria.

Despite all of that, Israel's position on the Syrian resolution remains controversial; do they support overthrowing of the Regime in Syria, or are they in favour of the continuation of war in Syria given economic and military toll it has on the Country’s capacities? Do they stand for or against the survival of a unified Syria? Or do prefer having the country divided into several mini-states?

Only yesterday did an Israeli vision come about, as to what could the future of Syria be in the eyes of Israeli leaders.

In short, they do not see a future for Syria, as we know it. And they do not expect the Country to restore itself the way it once was —unified geographically and demographically.

On the sidelines of his participation in the Munich Security Conference, Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon said: "the Syria we once knew will not be unified anytime in the near future. Hot pockets will surge, mainly formed by those living and fighting over there. And they may or may not be organized".

The General Director of Israeli Intelligence Ram Ben-Barak, elaborated that the division is of Syria is "the only possible solution." He added: "I believe that in the end, Syria must be devided into regions controlled by whoever is there; Alawites rule their regions, and Sunnis rule theirs".

Up until recently, the general expectation was that Israel does not prefer the surge of conflict mini-states in very close proximity to their vicinity, would be worried of the percussions of dividing Syria and the establishment of small hostile states and resistance pockets so close to them.

One thing is for certain, however, and it’s that although Israel maybe able to influence developments in the neighboring countries, they are not always in control, regardless of their ability to adapt to emergent changes. The latter, notably, is based on their military superiority and the unlimited support of the United States.

Therefore, it is not unlikely in such a case as Syria, that Israel efforts to deliberately envelope a friendly "pocket" of their own in the depth of Syrian territories close to Israeli-occupied Golan areas. This is what they did in Lebanon after the 1982 invasion, to secure its vital interests on the long term, and retain their right to carry out air strikes into Syrian depths whenever necessary.

Hereon, and starting now, Israel will have a crucial say in the future of Syria; the Israelis want Syria divided, and they have made it clear. This is why all factions and parties involved in the conflict, flying flags of religious sectarianism in Syria, must be aware they now stand in line Israel, in the same trench, fighting for Israel’s own ends.

 

What must be done now is maintain a unified Syria; its people and land as one, whatever be the cost. As for those rooting and promoting for a pragmatic “useful Syria", they must know that, for sure, that the Syria want is indeed very useful, but only to Israel, and that is it.

Comment